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2024-03-15

Model Predictions

Model Phoenix Suns Charlotte Hornets Spread Result
Elo 75.2% 24.8% -
Bradley-Terry 67.5% 32.5% -
Margin 63.9% 36.1% -3.1 (7.9 off)
Pythagorean 65.8% 34.2% -
Efficiency 84.7% 15.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 82.0% 18.0% -
Log Adjusted 82.0% 18.0% -
Points Off/Def 71.1% 28.9% -

Actual: Charlotte Hornets -11 (96-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kevin Durant * 37 5-15 1-6 2-2 8 5 1 0 13 - -
Bradley Beal * 36 7-11 1-3 0-0 6 7 0 0 15 - -
Devin Booker * 36 6-18 1-8 8-8 6 11 1 1 21 - -
Grayson Allen * 33 6-12 3-9 2-2 0 3 1 0 17 - -
Jusuf Nurkic * 30 5-9 0-0 3-7 21 2 0 1 13 - -
Eric Gordon 25 5-9 4-8 0-0 1 2 0 0 14 - -
Royce O'Neale 14 2-2 1-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 5 - -
Drew Eubanks 14 3-4 0-0 0-0 8 0 0 0 6 - -
Bol Bol 7 1-5 0-2 1-1 3 0 0 1 3 - -
David Roddy 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Nassir Little 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Miles Bridges * 38 6-18 0-5 5-7 10 3 0 0 17 - -
Tre Mann * 35 4-10 1-5 3-5 4 7 1 0 12 - -
Vasilije Micic * 30 7-12 0-2 7-9 1 3 0 1 21 - -
Brandon Miller * 28 4-15 2-8 4-5 4 1 2 1 14 - -
Nick Richards * 27 1-5 0-0 0-0 15 0 0 0 2 - -
Grant Williams 32 8-17 3-8 1-1 6 1 1 0 20 - -
Davis Bertans 25 1-5 0-4 0-0 2 2 1 0 2 - -
Aleksej Pokusevski 16 2-9 0-4 0-0 5 3 1 1 4 - -
Nick Smith Jr. 1 2-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 4 - -
Amari Bailey 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
JT Thor 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter