Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Oklahoma City Thunder | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.2% | 79.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.1% | 85.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.8% | 93.2% | +14.4 | ✓ (7.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.4% | 57.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 29.9% | 70.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 34.1% | 65.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 34.0% | 66.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.3% | 64.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder +7 (126-119). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyrie Irving * | 38 | 12-18 | 4-7 | 8-8 | 4 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 36 | - | - | |
| P.J. Washington * | 35 | 1-11 | 0-7 | 4-8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Derrick Jones Jr. * | 31 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Daniel Gafford * | 25 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| Dante Exum * | 21 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 30 | 8-13 | 5-9 | 2-2 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber | 20 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Jaden Hardy | 17 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Dereck Lively II | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Josh Green | 4 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 37 | 9-16 | 1-4 | 12-15 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 31 | - | - | |
| Jalen Williams * | 35 | 11-21 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 27 | - | - | |
| Chet Holmgren * | 32 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Luguentz Dort * | 28 | 4-9 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Josh Giddey * | 22 | 8-14 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Gordon Hayward | 21 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Joe | 18 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Cason Wallace | 18 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Jaylin Williams | 10 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Aaron Wiggins | 9 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Kenrich Williams | 6 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Lindy Waters III | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Mike Muscala | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter