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2024-03-14

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Lakers Sacramento Kings Spread Result
Elo 46.6% 53.4% -
Bradley-Terry 56.9% 43.1% -
Margin 53.0% 47.0% -0.7 (13.7 off)
Pythagorean 45.2% 54.8% -
Efficiency 41.4% 58.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 42.5% 57.5% -
Log Adjusted 42.5% 57.5% -
Points Off/Def 40.3% 59.7% -

Actual: Sacramento Kings +13 (120-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anthony Davis * 41 7-18 1-2 7-8 10 3 1 1 22 - -
LeBron James * 40 6-16 2-8 4-6 13 9 2 0 18 - -
Austin Reaves * 37 10-17 7-12 1-2 6 4 1 0 28 - -
Rui Hachimura * 35 9-11 2-3 0-0 3 1 0 0 20 - -
D'Angelo Russell * 33 2-9 1-4 1-2 2 6 1 1 6 - -
Spencer Dinwiddie 19 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 - -
Taurean Prince 13 2-2 1-1 2-2 1 0 2 0 7 - -
Max Christie 9 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 - -
Jaxson Hayes 6 1-1 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 4 - -
Skylar Mays 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Harry Giles III 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Maxwell Lewis 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Harrison Barnes * 38 8-15 7-11 0-0 2 2 0 0 23 - -
Keegan Murray * 38 7-13 5-10 0-0 11 3 2 0 19 - -
Domantas Sabonis * 37 6-10 0-1 5-6 19 10 2 1 17 - -
De'Aaron Fox * 35 9-20 1-5 2-2 4 7 1 0 21 - -
Keon Ellis * 28 5-8 3-5 1-2 2 0 3 1 14 - -
Malik Monk 26 3-10 1-4 1-2 3 6 0 0 8 - -
Davion Mitchell 16 3-6 0-2 0-0 2 2 0 0 6 - -
Alex Len 9 2-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 2 0 4 - -
Chris Duarte 8 2-3 2-3 0-0 1 0 1 0 6 - -
Kessler Edwards 0 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Colby Jones 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter