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2024-03-14

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Hawks Portland Trail Blazers Spread Result
Elo 29.1% 70.9% -
Bradley-Terry 41.7% 58.3% -
Margin 42.6% 57.4% +1.6 (2.4 off)
Pythagorean 58.0% 42.0% -
Efficiency 69.7% 30.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 66.4% 33.6% -
Log Adjusted 66.5% 33.5% -
Points Off/Def 56.0% 44.0% -

Actual: Portland Trail Blazers +4 (106-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dejounte Murray * 43 15-29 6-13 4-5 4 3 2 1 40 - -
Bogdan Bogdanovic * 33 3-15 2-9 0-0 7 8 3 1 8 - -
Vit Krejci * 31 2-4 2-4 1-2 2 2 1 1 7 - -
Clint Capela * 27 6-9 0-0 1-5 14 1 2 0 13 - -
Wesley Matthews * 14 1-7 1-4 0-0 0 0 0 1 3 - -
De'Andre Hunter 32 4-12 1-6 2-2 1 1 1 1 11 - -
Garrison Mathews 20 2-3 2-3 2-2 2 0 1 0 8 - -
Bruno Fernando 20 3-5 0-0 0-0 7 0 1 1 6 - -
Trent Forrest 11 2-4 0-0 2-2 0 4 0 0 6 - -
Dylan Windler 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anfernee Simons * 42 10-23 5-13 11-11 7 8 1 0 36 - -
Deandre Ayton * 40 15-20 0-0 3-4 19 1 1 1 33 - -
Kris Murray * 34 3-8 1-3 2-3 6 2 1 1 9 - -
Toumani Camara * 30 1-3 0-1 1-2 6 3 0 1 3 - -
Dalano Banton * 19 4-8 2-3 2-2 5 2 0 0 12 - -
Matisse Thybulle 32 3-6 2-4 0-0 5 4 2 2 8 - -
Scoot Henderson 17 1-8 0-4 0-0 1 3 1 0 2 - -
Justin Minaya 14 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 1 1 0 2 - -
Duop Reath 7 0-3 0-1 1-2 0 0 0 0 1 - -

* = starter