Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.4% | 43.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.2% | 44.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 61.3% | 38.7% | -2.5 | ✗ (12.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.8% | 53.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 46.1% | 53.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 43.4% | 56.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 43.3% | 56.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.2% | 59.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +10 (109-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Kuminga * | 35 | 8-17 | 2-2 | 9-10 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| Chris Paul * | 31 | 4-12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Andrew Wiggins * | 27 | 5-12 | 1-4 | 6-6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Klay Thompson * | 26 | 3-13 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Trayce Jackson-Davis * | 25 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Brandin Podziemski | 27 | 4-12 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Moses Moody | 19 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Kevon Looney | 17 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Gary Payton II | 15 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Dario Saric | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Lester Quinones | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jerome Robinson | 2 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyrie Irving * | 34 | 8-16 | 1-5 | 6-6 | 8 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 23 | - | - | |
| P.J. Washington * | 34 | 5-11 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 11 | - | - | |
| Luka Doncic * | 29 | 7-18 | 1-6 | 6-8 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Daniel Gafford * | 26 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 10 | - | - | |
| Derrick Jones Jr. * | 18 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Dante Exum | 24 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Josh Green | 23 | 5-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Dereck Lively II | 19 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 14 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jaden Hardy | 1 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| A.J. Lawson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter