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2024-03-14

Model Predictions

Model Cleveland Cavaliers New Orleans Pelicans Spread Result
Elo 72.9% 27.1% -
Bradley-Terry 80.2% 19.8% -
Margin 90.4% 9.6% -12.3 (8.7 off)
Pythagorean 44.7% 55.3% -
Efficiency 39.1% 60.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 40.4% 59.6% -
Log Adjusted 40.4% 59.6% -
Points Off/Def 38.5% 61.5% -

Actual: New Orleans Pelicans -21 (95-116). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Darius Garland * 34 10-16 6-10 1-1 6 11 2 1 27 - -
Isaac Okoro * 32 3-8 1-4 0-0 7 2 0 0 7 - -
Jarrett Allen * 31 8-13 0-0 1-2 10 1 0 2 17 - -
Georges Niang * 27 6-12 4-8 0-0 6 1 0 0 16 - -
Donovan Mitchell * 27 5-16 4-9 0-0 4 5 0 1 14 - -
Caris LeVert 29 1-6 0-3 0-0 5 9 1 0 2 - -
Sam Merrill 27 5-10 5-10 0-0 2 9 0 0 15 - -
Damian Jones 20 7-8 0-0 0-0 6 0 1 0 14 - -
Craig Porter Jr. 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Isaiah Mobley 3 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Zion Williamson * 34 13-21 0-0 7-9 9 1 1 0 33 - -
Brandon Ingram * 32 8-14 0-1 4-5 5 5 1 0 20 - -
CJ McCollum * 29 3-10 0-5 2-2 3 1 0 2 8 - -
Herbert Jones * 25 0-0 0-0 3-4 5 3 2 3 3 - -
Jonas Valanciunas * 14 2-7 1-2 0-0 7 2 0 0 5 - -
Trey Murphy III 27 4-10 1-6 2-2 1 3 0 1 11 - -
Naji Marshall 26 2-7 1-5 2-2 5 2 1 0 7 - -
Jose Alvarado 18 2-4 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 5 - -
Larry Nance Jr. 16 0-2 0-0 0-0 5 3 2 0 0 - -
Jordan Hawkins 4 1-4 0-1 1-2 0 0 0 0 3 - -
Matt Ryan 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 - -

* = starter