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2024-03-13

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors Detroit Pistons Spread Result
Elo 24.3% 75.7% -
Bradley-Terry 28.7% 71.3% -
Margin 20.0% 80.0% +7.6 (1.4 off)
Pythagorean 52.3% 47.7% -
Efficiency 58.2% 41.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 55.4% 44.6% -
Log Adjusted 55.3% 44.7% -
Points Off/Def 49.1% 50.9% -

Actual: Detroit Pistons +9 (113-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Immanuel Quickley * 35 8-19 2-8 7-8 5 8 1 1 25 - -
Bruce Brown * 33 8-12 0-0 1-2 4 5 2 1 17 - -
Gradey Dick * 32 4-13 1-6 0-0 3 1 1 0 9 - -
Kelly Olynyk * 30 8-11 2-4 1-2 6 8 2 2 19 - -
Ochai Agbaji * 26 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 3 2 0 0 - -
Jordan Nwora 21 5-11 2-6 0-0 2 0 3 0 12 - -
Jalen McDaniels 20 4-11 0-2 0-1 3 1 0 0 8 - -
Jontay Porter 20 3-6 2-5 2-4 6 6 1 4 10 - -
Jahmi'us Ramsey 19 1-7 0-4 2-2 7 0 1 0 4 - -

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Simone Fontecchio * 38 3-11 2-7 4-4 4 0 0 0 12 - -
Jaden Ivey * 37 5-13 0-2 4-6 3 7 2 1 14 - -
Isaiah Stewart * 32 5-6 3-3 2-3 2 1 0 3 15 - -
Jalen Duren * 28 8-9 0-0 8-10 23 5 1 0 24 - -
Cade Cunningham * 27 8-20 2-5 1-2 3 6 1 0 19 - -
Marcus Sasser 21 4-12 3-7 0-0 5 3 0 0 11 - -
James Wiseman 19 3-4 0-0 0-0 10 1 0 3 6 - -
Quentin Grimes 15 1-6 0-3 3-4 0 3 0 0 5 - -
Stanley Umude 14 1-4 1-2 2-2 7 0 3 0 5 - -
Evan Fournier 4 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 - -

* = starter