Model Predictions
| Model | Milwaukee Bucks | Sacramento Kings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.8% | 48.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 54.6% | 45.4% | -1.0 | ✗ (36.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 48.6% | 51.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.7% | 57.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Sacramento Kings +35 (129-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Damian Lillard * | 33 | 2-12 | 1-6 | 5-6 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo * | 32 | 10-17 | 0-2 | 10-14 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 30 | - | - | |
| Brook Lopez * | 25 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Malik Beasley * | 25 | 4-13 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Jae Crowder * | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Patrick Beverley | 26 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Pat Connaughton | 22 | 2-9 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Bobby Portis | 20 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| AJ Green | 17 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Danilo Gallinari | 6 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Thanasis Antetokounmpo | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Andre Jackson Jr. | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Domantas Sabonis * | 33 | 10-14 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 11 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| De'Aaron Fox * | 32 | 11-17 | 4-5 | 3-3 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 29 | - | - | |
| Harrison Barnes * | 31 | 6-12 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Keon Ellis * | 27 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Kevin Huerter * | 25 | 4-10 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Malik Monk | 28 | 9-19 | 3-8 | 4-5 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Davion Mitchell | 17 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Chris Duarte | 10 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Alex Len | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Trey Lyles | 8 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| JaVale McGee | 5 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Colby Jones | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Kessler Edwards | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jalen Slawson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter