Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.2% | 76.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.6% | 45.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 63.4% | 36.6% | -3.0 | ✓ (1.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.9% | 43.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 70.9% | 29.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 67.1% | 32.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 67.1% | 32.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 57.7% | 42.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs -2 (101-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fred VanVleet * | 39 | 7-16 | 3-9 | 4-4 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 21 | - | - | |
| Jalen Green * | 37 | 5-16 | 2-6 | 4-5 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Jabari Smith Jr. * | 33 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Dillon Brooks * | 29 | 6-11 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Amen Thompson * | 22 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jock Landale | 25 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Jeff Green | 14 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Reggie Bullock Jr. | 13 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jae'Sean Tate | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - | - | |
| Aaron Holiday | 11 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Vassell * | 35 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Julian Champagnie * | 34 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Jeremy Sochan * | 32 | 9-14 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 21 | - | - | |
| Victor Wembanyama * | 31 | 5-12 | 2-7 | 1-1 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 13 | - | - | |
| Tre Jones * | 31 | 9-15 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Malaki Branham | 22 | 2-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Zach Collins | 16 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - | - | |
| Blake Wesley | 16 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili | 11 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Dominick Barlow | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Devonte' Graham | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter