Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | Oklahoma City Thunder | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.4% | 89.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 17.4% | 82.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 7.6% | 92.4% | +13.8 | ✗ (23.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.5% | 57.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 30.3% | 69.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 32.1% | 67.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 32.0% | 68.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.1% | 65.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder -10 (111-121). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Nesmith * | 35 | 6-12 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 15 | - | - | |
| Tyrese Haliburton * | 35 | 8-15 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 18 | - | - | |
| Pascal Siakam * | 32 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Myles Turner * | 30 | 11-17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 24 | - | - | |
| Andrew Nembhard * | 27 | 4-7 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Obi Toppin | 18 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Jalen Smith | 17 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| T.J. McConnell | 17 | 4-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Ben Sheppard | 17 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Jarace Walker | 6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 36 | 12-27 | 1-7 | 5-6 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 30 | - | - | |
| Luguentz Dort * | 35 | 6-12 | 3-6 | 3-3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Chet Holmgren * | 35 | 6-16 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 15 | - | - | |
| Gordon Hayward * | 29 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Josh Giddey * | 27 | 7-15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Cason Wallace | 23 | 4-7 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Joe | 18 | 2-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Aaron Wiggins | 15 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Kenrich Williams | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jaylin Williams | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Mike Muscala | 1 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter