Model Predictions
| Model | Toronto Raptors | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.2% | 73.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.4% | 75.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 19.2% | 80.8% | +7.9 | ✓ (1.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.8% | 66.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 14.5% | 85.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 16.7% | 83.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 16.7% | 83.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 22.0% | 78.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +6 (125-119). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bruce Brown * | 37 | 5-14 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| RJ Barrett * | 37 | 10-20 | 1-3 | 5-5 | 7 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Gradey Dick * | 36 | 7-12 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Ochai Agbaji * | 28 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - | - | |
| Kelly Olynyk * | 28 | 9-13 | 2-4 | 4-5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Jontay Porter | 21 | 5-9 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Jalen McDaniels | 19 | 5-9 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Jordan Nwora | 16 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Javon Freeman-Liberty | 12 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Murray * | 39 | 11-19 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 5 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 26 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokic * | 38 | 14-26 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 17 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 35 | - | - | |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 32 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 32 | 8-14 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 30 | 8-9 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Christian Braun | 19 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Peyton Watson | 15 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Reggie Jackson | 14 | 4-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Justin Holiday | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter