Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.0% | 68.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.0% | 51.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 55.5% | 44.5% | -1.2 | ✓ (8.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.1% | 41.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 74.1% | 25.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 70.5% | 29.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 70.5% | 29.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 60.4% | 39.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs -10 (102-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Paul * | 33 | 9-19 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Jonathan Kuminga * | 31 | 9-18 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 22 | - | - | |
| Klay Thompson * | 30 | 8-21 | 4-10 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Andrew Wiggins * | 30 | 6-8 | 2-3 | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Draymond Green * | 27 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Brandin Podziemski | 34 | 5-10 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Trayce Jackson-Davis | 26 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Gary Payton II | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Moses Moody | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Vassell * | 36 | 5-14 | 5-8 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Victor Wembanyama * | 31 | 10-25 | 3-9 | 4-9 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 27 | - | - | |
| Tre Jones * | 31 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jeremy Sochan * | 28 | 4-10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 9 | - | - | |
| Julian Champagnie * | 27 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Keldon Johnson | 30 | 5-12 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Zach Collins | 16 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 | - | - | |
| Malaki Branham | 16 | 1-8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Blake Wesley | 12 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Dominick Barlow | 7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter