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2024-03-12

Model Predictions

Model Dallas Mavericks Chicago Bulls Spread Result
Elo 39.0% 61.0% -
Bradley-Terry 40.2% 59.8% -
Margin 46.2% 53.8% +0.8 (35.8 off)
Pythagorean 51.9% 48.1% -
Efficiency 61.4% 38.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 64.1% 35.9% -
Log Adjusted 64.1% 35.9% -
Points Off/Def 55.7% 44.3% -

Actual: Chicago Bulls -35 (92-127). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Dallas Mavericks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Luka Doncic * 33 9-23 6-15 3-4 12 14 1 0 27 - -
Kyrie Irving * 27 6-14 2-6 0-0 3 1 1 1 14 - -
P.J. Washington * 23 3-5 1-3 0-0 5 0 2 1 7 - -
Daniel Gafford * 22 9-9 0-0 2-3 7 1 1 2 20 - -
Derrick Jones Jr. * 16 3-7 2-5 0-0 0 2 0 0 8 - -
Josh Green 23 2-3 1-2 0-0 3 3 0 0 5 - -
Dereck Lively II 20 11-12 0-0 0-0 7 3 2 2 22 - -
Dante Exum 18 1-3 0-2 0-0 4 2 0 0 2 - -
Tim Hardaway Jr. 18 1-4 0-3 2-2 1 4 2 0 4 - -
Maxi Kleber 12 0-1 0-1 2-2 4 1 0 0 2 - -
Jaden Hardy 7 4-5 1-2 2-2 0 0 0 0 11 - -
A.J. Lawson 6 1-5 0-2 1-2 1 1 1 0 3 - -
Dwight Powell 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 - -
Markieff Morris 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ayo Dosunmu * 29 4-13 1-5 0-0 8 6 1 1 9 - -
Coby White * 27 4-14 1-6 3-3 2 1 0 0 12 - -
Nikola Vucevic * 26 6-13 1-4 0-0 6 2 0 1 13 - -
DeMar DeRozan * 22 4-9 0-1 5-6 2 2 0 0 13 - -
Alex Caruso * 21 1-6 1-6 1-4 5 3 1 0 4 - -
Julian Phillips 27 3-7 2-3 3-3 3 0 2 0 11 - -
Onuralp Bitim 25 8-16 1-6 0-0 5 1 0 0 17 - -
Torrey Craig 16 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Andre Drummond 16 1-3 0-0 2-4 10 1 1 0 4 - -
Jevon Carter 13 1-1 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 3 - -
Dalen Terry 7 2-5 0-2 0-0 0 2 1 0 4 - -
Terry Taylor 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 - -

* = starter