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2024-03-11

Model Predictions

Model Phoenix Suns Cleveland Cavaliers Spread Result
Elo 49.8% 50.2% -
Bradley-Terry 28.3% 71.7% -
Margin 17.7% 82.3% +8.5 (14.5 off)
Pythagorean 48.2% 51.8% -
Efficiency 51.1% 48.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 50.5% 49.5% -
Log Adjusted 50.5% 49.5% -
Points Off/Def 45.7% 54.3% -

Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers -6 (111-117). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kevin Durant * 39 14-26 5-10 4-5 8 6 1 0 37 - -
Devin Booker * 38 11-22 1-7 4-4 6 7 0 1 27 - -
Grayson Allen * 35 4-6 4-5 2-2 3 2 2 2 14 - -
Bradley Beal * 35 10-19 2-7 2-2 5 4 3 0 24 - -
Jusuf Nurkic * 29 4-5 0-0 1-6 8 0 0 1 9 - -
Royce O'Neale 29 0-2 0-2 0-0 4 4 1 0 0 - -
Drew Eubanks 17 2-2 0-0 0-0 6 0 1 1 4 - -
Bol Bol 9 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 - -
David Roddy 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Isaac Okoro * 39 4-12 2-7 3-4 4 3 4 0 13 - -
Jarrett Allen * 37 5-7 0-0 5-6 10 2 1 0 15 - -
Darius Garland * 36 10-17 7-10 3-4 2 5 1 0 30 - -
Caris LeVert * 33 7-16 3-10 0-0 6 11 1 0 17 - -
Georges Niang * 25 3-9 0-6 2-2 3 1 1 0 8 - -
Sam Merrill 21 1-5 1-5 0-0 1 5 0 0 3 - -
Craig Porter Jr. 21 5-7 1-2 2-2 6 1 0 0 13 - -
Isaiah Mobley 13 1-4 1-4 0-0 0 1 0 0 3 - -
Damian Jones 11 4-7 0-2 1-1 5 1 1 0 9 - -

* = starter