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2024-03-11

Model Predictions

Model Charlotte Hornets Detroit Pistons Spread Result
Elo 12.5% 87.5% -
Bradley-Terry 16.1% 83.9% -
Margin 12.5% 87.5% +10.7 (6.3 off)
Pythagorean 43.8% 56.2% -
Efficiency 40.4% 59.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 41.2% 58.8% -
Log Adjusted 41.1% 58.9% -
Points Off/Def 39.9% 60.1% -

Actual: Detroit Pistons +17 (114-97). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Miles Bridges * 40 9-24 3-9 3-5 7 3 1 0 24 - -
Brandon Miller * 35 7-17 3-10 2-3 5 7 1 1 19 - -
Nick Richards * 35 5-7 0-0 0-2 13 2 0 0 10 - -
Grant Williams * 32 6-13 2-5 8-9 4 2 2 0 22 - -
Vasilije Micic * 32 3-7 3-5 2-2 5 7 1 0 11 - -
Davis Bertans 26 2-8 2-7 1-2 1 2 2 0 7 - -
Nick Smith Jr. 15 0-4 0-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 - -
JT Thor 11 1-4 0-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 - -
Aleksej Pokusevski 10 1-4 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 1 2 - -

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Simone Fontecchio * 37 7-11 3-7 0-0 8 3 2 1 17 - -
Isaiah Stewart * 33 4-9 2-7 2-2 6 0 0 1 12 - -
Jaden Ivey * 32 4-13 0-6 4-4 3 4 1 1 12 - -
Cade Cunningham * 32 8-20 2-10 4-4 6 8 1 0 22 - -
Jalen Duren * 30 8-10 0-0 4-6 10 1 1 1 20 - -
Quentin Grimes 21 1-8 0-6 4-4 4 3 1 0 6 - -
Marcus Sasser 19 3-4 1-1 2-2 2 4 0 0 9 - -
James Wiseman 17 4-6 0-0 2-2 9 1 0 1 10 - -
Evan Fournier 11 1-4 1-4 0-0 1 2 2 0 3 - -
Stanley Umude 3 1-1 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 3 - -

* = starter