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2024-03-11

Model Predictions

Model Minnesota Timberwolves Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 68.1% 31.9% -
Bradley-Terry 47.8% 52.2% -
Margin 65.8% 34.2% -3.6 (14.6 off)
Pythagorean 53.3% 46.7% -
Efficiency 67.8% 32.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 65.9% 34.1% -
Log Adjusted 66.0% 34.0% -
Points Off/Def 55.7% 44.3% -

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +11 (120-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Naz Reid * 42 9-17 5-10 2-3 5 3 0 4 25 - -
Nickeil Alexander-Walker * 39 6-11 3-4 0-0 7 5 2 0 15 - -
Anthony Edwards * 39 10-23 2-9 3-4 7 7 2 2 25 - -
Jaden McDaniels * 32 5-17 0-5 0-0 6 1 2 0 10 - -
Mike Conley * 28 3-6 1-3 2-2 3 6 1 0 9 - -
T.J. Warren 22 2-7 0-2 0-0 3 2 1 0 4 - -
Jordan McLaughlin 21 4-9 4-9 0-0 4 2 0 0 12 - -
Luka Garza 10 2-5 1-3 4-4 3 1 0 0 9 - -
Wendell Moore Jr. 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Josh Minott 1 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Daishen Nix 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anthony Davis * 39 9-17 0-0 9-13 25 5 7 3 27 - -
LeBron James * 37 10-16 2-4 7-9 8 9 0 0 29 - -
Austin Reaves * 35 7-13 3-6 2-2 6 4 0 0 19 - -
D'Angelo Russell * 33 5-12 2-5 1-2 3 6 0 0 13 - -
Rui Hachimura * 23 5-10 3-5 2-2 2 3 0 0 15 - -
Taurean Prince 24 3-6 0-3 0-0 3 1 1 1 6 - -
Spencer Dinwiddie 16 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -
Jaxson Hayes 15 4-4 0-0 1-1 5 0 0 0 9 - -
Max Christie 8 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 - -
Harry Giles III 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Skylar Mays 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 - -
Maxwell Lewis 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter