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2024-03-10

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Grizzlies Oklahoma City Thunder Spread Result
Elo 11.7% 88.3% -
Bradley-Terry 16.7% 83.3% -
Margin 11.1% 88.9% +11.5 (19.5 off)
Pythagorean 29.5% 70.5% -
Efficiency 7.7% 92.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 10.4% 89.6% -
Log Adjusted 10.3% 89.7% -
Points Off/Def 17.8% 82.2% -

Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder +31 (124-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
GG Jackson * 37 10-19 3-10 7-8 6 3 0 1 30 - -
Jaren Jackson Jr. * 28 4-10 3-5 5-8 2 2 0 1 16 - -
Santi Aldama * 26 2-5 0-2 3-4 6 3 0 2 7 - -
Jake LaRavia * 24 4-9 2-4 3-4 1 4 2 0 13 - -
Luke Kennard * 22 1-6 1-6 0-0 2 2 1 0 3 - -
Lamar Stevens 30 4-12 1-2 0-0 3 0 1 0 9 - -
DeJon Jarreau 28 3-9 1-2 0-0 10 5 3 0 7 - -
Wenyen Gabriel 21 3-5 0-2 0-3 5 0 1 0 6 - -
Trey Jemison 20 1-3 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 0 2 - -

Oklahoma City Thunder

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * 27 8-14 5-7 2-2 2 6 0 0 23 - -
Luguentz Dort * 22 5-5 4-4 0-0 2 0 2 0 14 - -
Chet Holmgren * 21 4-10 0-4 0-0 6 2 0 2 8 - -
Josh Giddey * 19 7-15 1-4 1-1 10 4 2 0 16 - -
Jalen Williams * 10 3-6 1-4 0-0 2 3 1 1 7 - -
Cason Wallace 26 9-14 4-6 0-0 2 4 0 1 22 - -
Gordon Hayward 17 2-3 1-1 0-0 3 6 0 0 5 - -
Kenrich Williams 16 2-5 1-2 0-0 8 3 2 0 5 - -
Isaiah Joe 15 3-6 1-4 0-0 1 0 0 0 7 - -
Jaylin Williams 12 2-4 1-3 0-0 4 1 0 1 5 - -
Aaron Wiggins 12 2-3 0-0 0-0 1 3 1 1 4 - -
Ousmane Dieng 12 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 - -
Lindy Waters III 9 2-4 2-4 0-0 1 0 0 0 6 - -
Bismack Biyombo 8 0-0 0-0 2-2 2 1 0 0 2 - -
Mike Muscala 6 0-2 0-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 - -

* = starter