Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Sacramento Kings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 58.7% | 41.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 64.4% | 35.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 76.1% | 23.9% | -6.4 | ✓ (1.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 43.7% | 56.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 42.6% | 57.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 42.6% | 57.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.3% | 59.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Sacramento Kings -8 (104-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fred VanVleet * | 38 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 10-10 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 22 | 29 | - | |
| Jalen Green * | 34 | 6-15 | 1-6 | 6-8 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 9 | - | |
| Jabari Smith Jr. * | 33 | 3-10 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 16 | - | |
| Dillon Brooks * | 30 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 6 | - | |
| Alperen Sengun * | 29 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 10 | - | |
| Amen Thompson | 19 | 6-9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 9 | - | |
| Cam Whitmore | 19 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4 | - | |
| Jock Landale | 17 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 15 | - | |
| Jeff Green | 10 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - | |
| Aaron Holiday | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Domantas Sabonis * | 39 | 10-11 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 25 | 42 | - | |
| De'Aaron Fox * | 33 | 7-21 | 2-9 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 9 | - | |
| Keegan Murray * | 32 | 3-11 | 0-5 | 7-7 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 11 | - | |
| Kevin Huerter * | 25 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - | |
| Harrison Barnes * | 21 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | - | |
| Malik Monk | 27 | 8-16 | 2-8 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 20 | 15 | - | |
| Trey Lyles | 20 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - | |
| Davion Mitchell | 18 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - | |
| Keon Ellis | 17 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | |
| Alex Len | 4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
* = starter