🐻⬇️🏀

@
2024-03-10

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Pacers Orlando Magic Spread Result
Elo 20.8% 79.2% -
Bradley-Terry 43.0% 57.0% -
Margin 38.8% 61.2% +2.5 (16.5 off)
Pythagorean 46.7% 53.3% -
Efficiency 46.6% 53.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 49.2% 50.8% -
Log Adjusted 49.2% 50.8% -
Points Off/Def 45.8% 54.2% -

Actual: Orlando Magic -14 (97-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Aaron Nesmith * 37 4-8 4-6 4-4 5 1 1 2 16 - -
Tyrese Haliburton * 35 6-15 1-6 7-7 7 8 0 0 20 - -
Pascal Siakam * 32 6-14 1-3 7-9 7 3 0 0 20 - -
Myles Turner * 31 4-11 1-3 3-5 8 0 0 6 12 - -
Andrew Nembhard * 25 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 - -
T.J. McConnell 27 8-12 0-0 1-2 6 6 2 1 17 - -
Obi Toppin 25 7-9 1-2 2-2 8 0 1 1 17 - -
Ben Sheppard 11 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Isaiah Jackson 10 2-3 0-0 3-4 3 0 1 0 7 - -
Jarace Walker 3 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Paolo Banchero * 37 6-20 1-8 6-8 5 5 2 0 19 - -
Franz Wagner * 29 5-14 0-3 3-5 4 2 2 0 13 - -
Wendell Carter Jr. * 27 5-13 0-5 3-3 15 2 1 1 13 - -
Gary Harris * 27 2-3 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 5 - -
Caleb Houstan * 22 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 - -
Cole Anthony 25 4-14 1-6 7-8 2 3 0 0 16 - -
Joe Ingles 22 4-5 3-4 0-0 2 2 1 0 11 - -
Jonathan Isaac 19 3-7 3-4 0-0 7 0 0 2 9 - -
Moritz Wagner 15 3-6 0-2 3-5 6 2 0 0 9 - -
Anthony Black 11 1-4 0-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 2 - -

* = starter