Model Predictions
| Model | Washington Wizards | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.7% | 78.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 21.2% | 78.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 8.3% | 91.7% | +13.2 | ✗ (15.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.7% | 67.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 15.8% | 84.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 19.5% | 80.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 19.4% | 80.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 23.6% | 76.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Miami Heat -2 (108-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corey Kispert * | 39 | 8-15 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Kyle Kuzma * | 38 | 9-23 | 2-7 | 12-16 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 32 | - | - | |
| Tyus Jones * | 38 | 5-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Bilal Coulibaly * | 36 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 11 | - | - | |
| Deni Avdija * | 35 | 7-14 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Jordan Poole | 22 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Patrick Baldwin Jr. | 11 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Johnny Davis | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - | |
| Landry Shamet | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Eugene Omoruyi | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Anthony Gill | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmy Butler * | 36 | 9-20 | 0-4 | 5-6 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 23 | - | - | |
| Bam Adebayo * | 34 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 16 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Terry Rozier * | 34 | 8-16 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Duncan Robinson * | 33 | 5-16 | 4-13 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jovic * | 22 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Caleb Martin | 30 | 4-9 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr. | 24 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | - | - | |
| Patty Mills | 14 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Haywood Highsmith | 4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Orlando Robinson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter