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New Orleans Pelicans 116
@
Atlanta Hawks 103
2024-03-10

Model Predictions

Model New Orleans Pelicans Atlanta Hawks Spread Result
Elo 22.6% 77.4% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 24.4% 75.6% - ✗
Margin 18.7% 81.3% +8.1 ✗ (21.1 off)
Pythagorean 54.1% 45.9% - ✓
Efficiency 67.7% 32.3% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 66.1% 33.9% - ✓
Log Adjusted 66.1% 33.9% - ✓
Points Off/Def 57.7% 42.3% - ✓

Actual: Atlanta Hawks -13 (103-116). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Zion Williamson * 36 10-14 0-0 7-10 6 7 0 2 27 - -
Brandon Ingram * 31 3-9 0-1 1-2 7 10 1 0 7 - -
CJ McCollum * 30 7-14 4-7 2-3 4 3 0 0 20 - -
Herbert Jones * 30 3-5 1-2 0-0 1 2 2 3 7 - -
Jonas Valanciunas * 16 1-2 0-0 2-2 9 1 0 2 4 - -
Trey Murphy III 30 10-18 6-13 2-2 7 2 0 0 28 - -
Larry Nance Jr. 28 4-4 0-0 2-3 2 3 4 0 10 - -
Naji Marshall 17 3-5 1-1 0-0 5 3 0 0 7 - -
Jose Alvarado 17 2-4 2-3 0-0 2 1 1 0 6 - -

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dejounte Murray * 40 7-20 4-10 5-7 1 11 1 0 23 - -
Bogdan Bogdanovic * 36 9-19 7-15 0-0 1 7 2 0 25 - -
Saddiq Bey * 27 3-11 3-8 5-6 5 2 0 0 14 - -
Clint Capela * 25 9-13 0-0 0-0 14 0 0 1 18 - -
Vit Krejci * 22 1-3 1-2 0-0 2 3 1 0 3 - -
De'Andre Hunter 35 5-15 2-8 0-0 6 2 0 0 12 - -
Bruno Fernando 22 3-5 0-0 0-0 11 2 2 3 6 - -
Garrison Mathews 18 1-3 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Trent Forrest 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Wesley Matthews 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -

* = starter