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2024-03-10

Model Predictions

Model Milwaukee Bucks LA Clippers Spread Result
Elo 21.2% 78.8% -
Bradley-Terry 37.3% 62.7% -
Margin 30.5% 69.5% +4.5 (11.5 off)
Pythagorean 46.8% 53.2% -
Efficiency 46.4% 53.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 45.0% 55.0% -
Log Adjusted 45.0% 55.0% -
Points Off/Def 41.9% 58.1% -

Actual: LA Clippers -7 (117-124). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Damian Lillard * 38 11-19 7-13 6-7 7 11 0 0 35 - -
Giannis Antetokounmpo * 38 12-24 0-2 10-15 7 10 1 1 34 - -
Malik Beasley * 38 6-11 4-9 1-1 4 1 0 0 17 - -
Brook Lopez * 31 2-4 1-2 2-2 6 1 0 2 7 - -
Jae Crowder * 19 3-5 1-2 0-0 2 1 1 1 7 - -
Pat Connaughton 26 1-5 1-5 2-2 3 2 1 1 5 - -
Bobby Portis 25 5-14 1-2 0-0 8 1 0 0 11 - -
Patrick Beverley 15 2-4 1-2 0-0 4 1 2 1 5 - -
Danilo Gallinari 6 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 - -

LA Clippers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
James Harden * 36 5-16 1-6 2-2 5 11 0 0 13 - -
Amir Coffey * 30 6-11 4-6 0-0 10 4 0 1 16 - -
Terance Mann * 30 6-10 2-6 2-2 2 1 0 2 16 - -
Ivica Zubac * 26 9-11 0-0 0-0 6 1 1 1 18 - -
P.J. Tucker * 25 3-9 1-6 0-0 6 2 0 1 7 - -
Norman Powell 31 9-21 3-14 5-6 7 2 1 0 26 - -
Bones Hyland 21 5-12 2-5 0-0 2 5 1 0 12 - -
Brandon Boston Jr. 17 2-9 1-3 0-0 5 1 0 2 5 - -
Daniel Theis 14 1-2 0-1 0-0 6 0 0 2 2 - -
Mason Plumlee 6 1-3 0-0 0-0 3 3 0 0 2 - -

* = starter