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2024-03-10

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors Portland Trail Blazers Spread Result
Elo 32.2% 67.8% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 40.0% 60.0% - ✓
Margin 39.8% 60.2% +2.3 ✓ (7.7 off)
Pythagorean 52.9% 47.1% - ✗
Efficiency 58.5% 41.5% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 55.4% 44.6% - ✗
Log Adjusted 55.5% 44.5% - ✗
Points Off/Def 48.1% 51.9% - ✓

Actual: Portland Trail Blazers +10 (128-118). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Immanuel Quickley * 43 10-21 4-10 5-7 3 7 1 0 29 - -
Gary Trent Jr. * 41 10-26 3-12 0-1 5 3 2 0 23 - -
Gradey Dick * 39 3-10 2-7 0-0 5 2 0 0 8 - -
Kelly Olynyk * 32 6-10 3-4 0-0 6 8 2 2 15 - -
Ochai Agbaji * 21 2-7 1-4 2-2 1 1 1 0 7 - -
Chris Boucher 31 4-5 2-3 6-6 8 2 0 3 16 - -
Jalen McDaniels 24 2-3 0-0 0-0 10 3 2 1 4 - -
Javon Freeman-Liberty 18 2-3 0-1 2-2 4 2 0 0 6 - -
Jordan Nwora 12 4-6 1-2 1-1 1 1 1 0 10 - -
Jontay Porter 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anfernee Simons * 42 8-18 4-9 3-3 4 7 1 0 23 - -
Dalano Banton * 42 9-16 5-8 2-3 7 4 0 1 25 - -
Deandre Ayton * 39 14-25 0-1 2-2 19 1 2 1 30 - -
Toumani Camara * 31 5-10 2-4 3-3 9 4 1 0 15 - -
Kris Murray * 24 2-7 1-5 0-0 4 3 0 0 5 - -
Matisse Thybulle 32 5-9 3-5 0-0 4 4 4 1 13 - -
Scoot Henderson 26 5-12 1-4 2-2 1 5 1 0 13 - -
Duop Reath 13 1-3 0-1 2-2 1 0 0 0 4 - -
Rayan Rupert 12 0-3 0-3 0-0 3 3 1 0 0 - -

* = starter