Model Predictions
| Model | Utah Jazz | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.8% | 89.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 13.3% | 86.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 7.9% | 92.1% | +13.5 | ✓ (7.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.5% | 64.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 17.0% | 83.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 21.1% | 78.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 21.1% | 78.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.1% | 74.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +21 (142-121). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Utah Jazz
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keyonte George * | 38 | 10-17 | 5-8 | 4-5 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 29 | - | - | |
| Collin Sexton * | 35 | 6-17 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| John Collins * | 32 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Brice Sensabaugh * | 31 | 7-11 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Walker Kessler * | 24 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jordan Clarkson | 27 | 10-18 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Kris Dunn | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Luka Samanic | 14 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Talen Horton-Tucker | 9 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Johnny Juzang | 6 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Omer Yurtseven | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Murray * | 36 | 13-21 | 6-9 | 5-7 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 37 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokic * | 32 | 12-14 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 26 | - | - | |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 30 | 5-8 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 13 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 22 | 8-13 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 20 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Peyton Watson | 26 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Justin Holiday | 24 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Christian Braun | 16 | 5-5 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - | - | |
| Reggie Jackson | 9 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jay Huff | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Julian Strawther | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jalen Pickett | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Hunter Tyson | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
* = starter