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2024-03-10

Model Predictions

Model San Antonio Spurs Golden State Warriors Spread Result
Elo 51.6% 48.4% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 37.0% 63.0% - โœ—
Margin 29.4% 70.6% +4.8 โœ— (17.8 off)
Pythagorean 35.9% 64.1% - โœ—
Efficiency 19.9% 80.1% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 23.5% 76.5% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 23.5% 76.5% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 27.5% 72.5% - โœ—

Actual: Golden State Warriors -13 (113-126). Predictions use season-end ratings.

San Antonio Spurs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Julian Champagnie * 33 5-8 5-8 2-2 7 5 0 1 17 - -
Tre Jones * 31 1-5 0-2 5-6 5 11 2 0 7 - -
Malaki Branham * 29 7-15 3-6 3-4 3 2 0 0 20 - -
Jeremy Sochan * 24 7-14 2-4 4-6 5 1 0 1 20 - -
Zach Collins * 22 4-8 1-1 0-2 2 0 1 1 9 - -
Keldon Johnson 31 9-18 4-9 0-0 11 1 0 0 22 - -
Dominick Barlow 30 7-10 0-1 5-6 8 4 1 1 19 - -
Blake Wesley 20 1-3 0-0 2-2 5 9 1 2 4 - -
Devonte' Graham 11 3-4 2-2 0-0 2 0 1 0 8 - -
Sandro Mamukelashvili 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brandin Podziemski * 30 2-7 1-1 3-4 6 7 1 1 8 - -
Jonathan Kuminga * 30 10-17 0-1 6-8 3 2 1 0 26 - -
Chris Paul * 29 4-9 2-3 0-0 4 9 3 0 10 - -
Draymond Green * 27 3-6 1-3 0-0 5 4 2 1 7 - -
Trayce Jackson-Davis * 23 5-5 0-0 1-5 6 0 1 3 11 - -
Andrew Wiggins 26 5-12 1-3 0-0 6 1 1 0 11 - -
Moses Moody 26 2-11 0-6 5-6 5 0 0 1 9 - -
Klay Thompson 24 8-16 5-10 6-6 2 1 0 1 27 - -
Lester Quinones 8 1-3 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -
Gui Santos 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -
Dario Saric 3 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Jerome Robinson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Pat Spencer 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -

* = starter