Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Golden State Warriors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.0% | 63.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 29.4% | 70.6% | +4.8 | ✗ (17.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.9% | 64.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 19.9% | 80.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 23.5% | 76.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 23.5% | 76.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.5% | 72.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Golden State Warriors -13 (113-126). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julian Champagnie * | 33 | 5-8 | 5-8 | 2-2 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 22 | - | |
| Tre Jones * | 31 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 5 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 20 | - | |
| Malaki Branham * | 29 | 7-15 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 10 | - | |
| Jeremy Sochan * | 24 | 7-14 | 2-4 | 4-6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 13 | - | |
| Zach Collins * | 22 | 4-8 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - | |
| Keldon Johnson | 31 | 9-18 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 16 | - | |
| Dominick Barlow | 30 | 7-10 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 23 | - | |
| Blake Wesley | 20 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 18 | - | |
| Devonte' Graham | 11 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - | |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandin Podziemski * | 30 | 2-7 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 16 | - | |
| Jonathan Kuminga * | 30 | 10-17 | 0-1 | 6-8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 26 | 15 | - | |
| Chris Paul * | 29 | 4-9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 17 | - | |
| Draymond Green * | 27 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 13 | - | |
| Trayce Jackson-Davis * | 23 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 1-5 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 16 | - | |
| Andrew Wiggins | 26 | 5-12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 7 | - | |
| Moses Moody | 26 | 2-11 | 0-6 | 5-6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | - | |
| Klay Thompson | 24 | 8-16 | 5-10 | 6-6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 15 | - | |
| Lester Quinones | 8 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - | |
| Gui Santos | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | |
| Dario Saric | 3 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - | |
| Jerome Robinson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | |
| Pat Spencer | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter