Model Predictions
| Model | Boston Celtics | Phoenix Suns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.8% | 38.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 76.7% | 23.3% | -6.5 | ✓ (3.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.3% | 45.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 75.6% | 24.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 70.7% | 29.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 70.7% | 29.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 60.7% | 39.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Suns -10 (107-117). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayson Tatum * | 42 | 11-28 | 5-9 | 2-2 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 29 | - | - | |
| Jrue Holiday * | 35 | 5-7 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Derrick White * | 34 | 5-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Jaylen Brown * | 34 | 10-21 | 3-7 | 4-7 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| Al Horford * | 32 | 4-12 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Payton Pritchard | 22 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Luke Kornet | 19 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Sam Hauser | 17 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| JD Davison | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jaden Springer | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grayson Allen * | 39 | 3-8 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Royce O'Neale * | 37 | 1-9 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Kevin Durant * | 37 | 18-26 | 4-7 | 5-7 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 45 | - | - | |
| Bradley Beal * | 37 | 10-20 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Jusuf Nurkic * | 27 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Eric Gordon | 29 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Drew Eubanks | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Bol Bol | 10 | 6-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| David Roddy | 6 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Saben Lee | 4 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - |
* = starter