Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Detroit Pistons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.0% | 80.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.6% | 69.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 24.4% | 75.6% | +6.2 | ✗ (24.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 63.0% | 37.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 81.4% | 18.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 80.1% | 19.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 80.1% | 19.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 70.0% | 30.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Detroit Pistons -18 (124-142). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic * | 36 | 13-24 | 4-13 | 9-10 | 10 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 39 | 40 | - | |
| Kyrie Irving * | 29 | 9-18 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 12 | - | |
| P.J. Washington * | 28 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - | |
| Daniel Gafford * | 24 | 7-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 22 | - | |
| Derrick Jones Jr. * | 18 | 5-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 12 | 12 | - | |
| Josh Green | 27 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - | |
| Dante Exum | 18 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - | |
| Maxi Kleber | 17 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 17 | 6-13 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 7 | - | |
| Dwight Powell | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - | |
| Jaden Hardy | 4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - | |
| A.J. Lawson | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - | |
| Markieff Morris | 3 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaden Ivey * | 36 | 7-21 | 2-9 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 9 | - | |
| Isaiah Stewart * | 34 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - | |
| Cade Cunningham * | 32 | 11-21 | 3-7 | 8-8 | 9 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 33 | 31 | - | |
| Jalen Duren * | 15 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 13 | - | |
| Ausar Thompson * | 11 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - | |
| Simone Fontecchio | 32 | 9-13 | 4-5 | 5-5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 27 | 22 | - | |
| James Wiseman | 30 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 24 | - | |
| Marcus Sasser | 18 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - | |
| Stanley Umude | 13 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - | |
| Evan Fournier | 10 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | |
| Troy Brown Jr. | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | |
| Malachi Flynn | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter