Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Portland Trail Blazers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.3% | 69.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.0% | 40.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 72.4% | 27.6% | -5.3 | ✓ (10.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.1% | 37.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 78.6% | 21.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 75.2% | 24.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 75.3% | 24.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 63.8% | 36.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Portland Trail Blazers -16 (107-123). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jabari Smith Jr. * | 39 | 5-11 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15 | - | - | |
| Jalen Green * | 34 | 11-19 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| Fred VanVleet * | 34 | 5-13 | 4-8 | 4-4 | 1 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Alperen Sengun * | 31 | 7-15 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| Dillon Brooks * | 21 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Amen Thompson | 26 | 7-10 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 16 | - | - | |
| Cam Whitmore | 23 | 4-10 | 1-5 | 4-6 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Aaron Holiday | 14 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jock Landale | 13 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Nate Williams | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dalano Banton * | 38 | 10-27 | 4-10 | 6-8 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 30 | - | - | |
| Anfernee Simons * | 33 | 7-14 | 4-7 | 5-7 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Kris Murray * | 33 | 5-12 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 11 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Duop Reath * | 32 | 6-13 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Toumani Camara * | 30 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Rayan Rupert | 22 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Matisse Thybulle | 19 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Ashton Hagans | 18 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Moses Brown | 10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Justin Minaya | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter