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2024-03-09

Model Predictions

Model Milwaukee Bucks Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 45.3% 54.7% -
Bradley-Terry 37.9% 62.1% -
Margin 43.4% 56.6% +1.5 (0.5 off)
Pythagorean 49.2% 50.8% -
Efficiency 54.2% 45.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 50.3% 49.7% -
Log Adjusted 50.3% 49.7% -
Points Off/Def 45.7% 54.3% -

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +1 (123-122). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Damian Lillard * 38 10-23 4-12 4-4 5 12 0 0 28 - -
Giannis Antetokounmpo * 38 14-23 1-3 5-7 14 12 1 1 34 - -
Malik Beasley * 34 5-12 4-9 0-0 4 2 1 0 14 - -
Brook Lopez * 31 4-6 3-3 0-0 3 1 0 1 11 - -
Jae Crowder * 21 1-5 0-2 2-2 3 0 1 0 4 - -
Pat Connaughton 30 6-7 4-5 1-2 6 1 0 0 17 - -
Bobby Portis 25 6-13 0-4 2-2 8 0 0 0 14 - -
Patrick Beverley 16 0-3 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Danilo Gallinari 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anthony Davis * 41 10-21 0-1 2-2 13 5 0 3 22 - -
D'Angelo Russell * 38 17-25 9-12 1-1 6 9 0 1 44 - -
Rui Hachimura * 38 5-16 1-6 1-2 5 2 0 0 12 - -
Austin Reaves * 36 7-12 2-5 2-4 5 7 1 0 18 - -
Spencer Dinwiddie * 33 1-3 1-2 2-2 2 3 1 2 5 - -
Jaxson Hayes 17 2-2 0-0 4-6 1 0 0 0 8 - -
Taurean Prince 16 3-7 2-5 0-0 6 1 0 0 8 - -
Cam Reddish 15 2-4 1-3 1-2 0 0 0 1 6 - -
Max Christie 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter