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2024-03-09

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Hawks Memphis Grizzlies Spread Result
Elo 59.9% 40.1% -
Bradley-Terry 37.7% 62.3% -
Margin 26.9% 73.1% +5.5 (12.5 off)
Pythagorean 54.7% 45.3% -
Efficiency 63.6% 36.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 60.8% 39.2% -
Log Adjusted 60.9% 39.1% -
Points Off/Def 52.0% 48.0% -

Actual: Memphis Grizzlies -7 (92-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dejounte Murray * 40 17-25 6-10 1-1 7 6 2 0 41 - -
Saddiq Bey * 37 1-12 0-6 1-2 9 2 1 1 3 - -
Bogdan Bogdanovic * 34 6-14 3-6 1-2 6 3 1 2 16 - -
Clint Capela * 26 5-13 0-0 5-5 11 3 0 1 15 - -
Vit Krejci * 22 1-5 1-4 0-0 1 5 2 1 3 - -
De'Andre Hunter 29 4-11 3-6 1-3 2 2 1 0 12 - -
Bruno Fernando 21 0-1 0-0 1-2 7 0 2 0 1 - -
Garrison Mathews 16 2-4 2-3 0-0 3 0 0 0 6 - -
Trent Forrest 7 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -
Wesley Matthews 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Vince Williams Jr. * 36 4-8 3-5 3-4 5 6 0 1 14 - -
Jaren Jackson Jr. * 35 8-19 0-2 5-8 9 3 3 2 21 - -
Santi Aldama * 31 5-7 2-3 1-2 5 0 1 3 13 - -
John Konchar * 28 2-4 1-2 0-0 5 3 0 1 5 - -
Jordan Goodwin * 23 2-8 1-3 0-0 0 4 0 1 5 - -
Lamar Stevens 28 3-12 1-4 6-6 5 0 1 2 13 - -
Jake LaRavia 26 3-10 2-7 6-6 3 3 3 1 14 - -
Trey Jemison 16 2-3 0-0 1-2 2 0 1 0 5 - -
Wenyen Gabriel 12 1-3 0-0 0-2 4 2 1 0 2 - -

* = starter