Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Sacramento Kings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 77.0% | 23.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.0% | 47.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 56.9% | 43.1% | -1.5 | ✗ (3.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.2% | 63.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 20.7% | 79.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 23.4% | 76.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 23.3% | 76.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.3% | 72.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Sacramento Kings +2 (131-129). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Vassell * | 38 | 11-18 | 4-7 | 4-4 | 5 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 30 | - | - | |
| Jeremy Sochan * | 35 | 3-10 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | - | - | |
| Zach Collins * | 30 | 8-17 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Tre Jones * | 23 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Julian Champagnie * | 16 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Keldon Johnson | 27 | 9-17 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Malaki Branham | 26 | 6-11 | 5-5 | 6-6 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Blake Wesley | 16 | 5-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Dominick Barlow | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Cedi Osman | 6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Domantas Sabonis * | 37 | 14-19 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 17 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 31 | - | - | |
| De'Aaron Fox * | 35 | 14-32 | 1-7 | 4-4 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 33 | - | - | |
| Harrison Barnes * | 30 | 6-9 | 0-2 | 5-5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Keegan Murray * | 30 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Kevin Huerter * | 16 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Malik Monk | 30 | 6-17 | 2-7 | 4-4 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Trey Lyles | 17 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Keon Ellis | 17 | 4-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Davion Mitchell | 14 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Alex Len | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter