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2024-03-08

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Bulls Golden State Warriors Spread Result
Elo 30.0% 70.0% -
Bradley-Terry 33.8% 66.2% -
Margin 21.5% 78.5% +7.1 (10.1 off)
Pythagorean 42.4% 57.6% -
Efficiency 33.4% 66.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 33.2% 66.8% -
Log Adjusted 33.2% 66.8% -
Points Off/Def 34.3% 65.7% -

Actual: Golden State Warriors -3 (122-125). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
DeMar DeRozan * 39 10-17 3-6 10-11 8 4 0 1 33 29 -
Ayo Dosunmu * 37 6-12 2-5 0-0 3 6 0 2 14 13 -
Coby White * 36 7-16 2-6 4-4 4 7 3 0 20 18 -
Nikola Vucevic * 35 14-23 3-6 2-2 11 5 0 0 33 26 -
Alex Caruso * 22 2-4 1-3 0-0 5 2 0 1 5 9 -
Jevon Carter 21 4-7 2-3 0-0 1 2 1 0 10 7 -
Onuralp Bitim 16 2-4 2-4 0-0 0 1 1 0 6 4 -
Torrey Craig 13 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 1 0 3 -
Andre Drummond 12 0-1 0-0 1-6 7 0 0 0 1 7 -
Julian Phillips 4 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 1 0 3 2 -

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jonathan Kuminga * 32 5-11 0-1 9-10 10 2 1 0 19 21 -
Draymond Green * 32 5-12 1-5 0-0 10 12 1 2 11 24 -
Stephen Curry * 28 5-18 3-12 2-2 3 1 0 0 15 1 -
Brandin Podziemski * 26 4-7 1-2 2-4 4 4 1 0 11 13 -
Andrew Wiggins * 15 3-6 0-2 2-2 1 2 1 0 8 6 -
Klay Thompson 27 9-21 5-12 2-3 1 2 2 0 25 9 -
Chris Paul 24 6-8 1-3 2-2 4 5 0 0 15 16 -
Moses Moody 22 4-9 0-4 2-2 9 0 1 0 10 11 -
Trayce Jackson-Davis 17 3-3 0-0 2-3 4 2 1 0 8 12 -
Gary Payton II 10 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 2 -
Lester Quinones 0 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter