Model Predictions
| Model | Boston Celtics | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.5% | 57.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.9% | 52.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 60.4% | 39.6% | -2.3 | ✗ (8.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.1% | 47.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 69.9% | 30.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 65.6% | 34.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 65.7% | 34.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 56.1% | 43.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +6 (115-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen Brown * | 41 | 16-29 | 2-7 | 7-14 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 41 | - | - | |
| Jayson Tatum * | 38 | 5-13 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Derrick White * | 36 | 3-8 | 0-4 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Kristaps Porzingis * | 35 | 9-23 | 3-10 | 3-4 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 24 | - | - | |
| Jrue Holiday * | 34 | 5-10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Al Horford | 18 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Xavier Tillman | 13 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Sam Hauser | 10 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Payton Pritchard | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokic * | 38 | 11-19 | 0-0 | 10-10 | 12 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 32 | - | - | |
| Jamal Murray * | 37 | 7-18 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 34 | 8-15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 33 | 4-7 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 30 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Peyton Watson | 17 | 5-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | - | - | |
| Christian Braun | 16 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Justin Holiday | 13 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Reggie Jackson | 11 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
* = starter