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2024-03-08

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors Phoenix Suns Spread Result
Elo 27.2% 72.8% -
Bradley-Terry 36.3% 63.7% -
Margin 33.9% 66.1% +3.7 (3.3 off)
Pythagorean 35.8% 64.2% -
Efficiency 19.4% 80.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 20.9% 79.1% -
Log Adjusted 20.8% 79.2% -
Points Off/Def 25.5% 74.5% -

Actual: Phoenix Suns +7 (120-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Immanuel Quickley * 39 9-17 2-7 1-2 9 18 1 0 21 - -
RJ Barrett * 37 9-16 3-4 2-3 2 4 1 1 23 - -
Gary Trent Jr. * 35 11-22 5-13 3-3 3 0 0 0 30 - -
Kelly Olynyk * 27 3-9 1-6 1-2 4 2 2 0 8 - -
Ochai Agbaji * 23 1-6 0-1 1-2 4 1 1 0 3 - -
Gradey Dick 30 4-12 4-10 0-0 2 0 0 0 12 - -
Chris Boucher 23 5-6 0-0 1-1 9 2 0 0 11 - -
Javon Freeman-Liberty 18 1-4 1-2 2-2 3 2 0 1 5 - -
Jordan Nwora 3 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Grayson Allen * 38 8-14 8-14 2-2 3 3 0 1 26 - -
Kevin Durant * 34 11-19 2-5 11-12 3 1 1 0 35 - -
Bradley Beal * 33 8-16 1-4 3-4 2 8 1 1 20 - -
Royce O'Neale * 31 4-8 2-6 0-0 8 6 1 1 10 - -
Jusuf Nurkic * 26 3-5 0-0 1-2 14 5 0 2 7 - -
Eric Gordon 22 2-7 1-4 0-0 2 1 1 0 5 - -
Drew Eubanks 20 3-5 0-0 0-0 8 1 1 1 6 - -
Bol Bol 16 5-7 1-1 0-0 8 0 1 0 11 - -
Saben Lee 15 0-5 0-1 0-0 1 4 0 0 0 - -

* = starter