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2024-03-08

Model Predictions

Model Minnesota Timberwolves Indiana Pacers Spread Result
Elo 77.0% 23.0% -
Bradley-Terry 51.9% 48.1% -
Margin 65.1% 34.9% -3.4 (1.4 off)
Pythagorean 50.9% 49.1% -
Efficiency 60.7% 39.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 60.8% 39.2% -
Log Adjusted 60.8% 39.2% -
Points Off/Def 51.2% 48.8% -

Actual: Indiana Pacers -2 (111-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Rudy Gobert * 39 7-11 0-0 4-5 14 0 2 3 18 - -
Anthony Edwards * 38 18-35 3-7 5-8 6 3 2 2 44 - -
Mike Conley * 30 2-9 1-6 0-0 5 4 2 0 5 - -
Jaden McDaniels * 27 4-7 1-1 2-2 8 6 0 0 11 - -
Kyle Anderson * 27 1-5 0-0 1-2 3 4 0 0 3 - -
Nickeil Alexander-Walker 27 4-10 0-4 2-2 2 2 2 0 10 - -
Naz Reid 26 6-15 1-4 0-0 8 2 1 1 13 - -
T.J. Warren 16 3-5 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 7 - -
Monte Morris 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 - -

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tyrese Haliburton * 37 9-15 2-7 3-4 3 13 1 0 23 - -
Pascal Siakam * 33 10-20 1-3 3-3 4 2 0 0 24 - -
Aaron Nesmith * 30 2-10 1-4 3-3 4 1 0 2 8 - -
Andrew Nembhard * 30 3-5 1-2 0-0 6 3 1 0 7 - -
Myles Turner * 20 4-8 1-3 3-5 7 1 0 4 12 - -
Jalen Smith 20 5-5 1-1 3-6 2 4 0 1 14 - -
Ben Sheppard 18 2-4 2-2 0-0 4 0 0 0 6 - -
Jarace Walker 15 2-4 1-2 0-0 5 1 1 0 5 - -
Obi Toppin 14 1-3 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 2 2 - -
T.J. McConnell 11 3-7 0-1 0-0 1 1 2 0 6 - -
Isaiah Jackson 6 1-1 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 1 4 - -

* = starter