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2024-03-07

Model Predictions

Model Sacramento Kings Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 36.4% 63.6% -
Bradley-Terry 29.9% 70.1% -
Margin 31.4% 68.6% +4.3 (14.3 off)
Pythagorean 48.8% 51.2% -
Efficiency 52.6% 47.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 51.5% 48.5% -
Log Adjusted 51.5% 48.5% -
Points Off/Def 46.2% 53.8% -

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers -10 (120-130). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
De'Aaron Fox * 39 19-32 2-6 4-5 4 4 2 0 44 - -
Domantas Sabonis * 38 7-13 0-1 2-3 20 12 2 0 16 - -
Keegan Murray * 31 3-8 1-6 0-0 3 3 0 1 7 - -
Harrison Barnes * 15 5-7 1-3 0-0 0 0 0 1 11 - -
Kevin Huerter * 11 1-3 0-2 0-0 1 3 1 0 2 - -
Malik Monk 31 10-19 3-5 3-3 5 8 2 0 26 - -
Trey Lyles 30 3-5 0-2 1-1 6 1 0 0 7 - -
Davion Mitchell 18 4-4 4-4 0-0 1 1 0 0 12 - -
Keon Ellis 13 2-4 1-2 0-0 3 0 1 0 5 - -
Alex Len 9 0-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 - -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
LeBron James * 36 10-16 1-4 10-10 5 13 1 0 31 - -
Austin Reaves * 35 6-15 4-7 2-2 4 4 0 0 18 - -
D'Angelo Russell * 35 3-10 2-6 2-2 1 3 1 0 10 - -
Anthony Davis * 34 5-13 0-1 4-5 11 3 0 1 14 - -
Rui Hachimura * 32 13-17 3-5 0-0 2 0 2 1 29 - -
Spencer Dinwiddie 24 2-3 2-3 2-4 2 1 0 0 8 - -
Taurean Prince 15 2-3 2-3 0-0 2 0 0 2 6 - -
Jaxson Hayes 12 0-1 0-0 1-2 5 0 0 1 1 - -
Max Christie 10 1-2 1-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 3 - -
Jalen Hood-Schifino 0 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Harry Giles III 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Maxwell Lewis 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter