Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | Portland Trail Blazers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 50.9% | 49.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 76.8% | 23.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 89.3% | 10.7% | -11.7 | ✓ (3.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 67.5% | 32.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 88.8% | 11.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 86.3% | 13.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 86.4% | 13.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 75.8% | 24.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Portland Trail Blazers -8 (120-128). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 35 | 13-23 | 0-3 | 11-12 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 37 | - | - | |
| Chet Holmgren * | 33 | 6-9 | 1-4 | 8-10 | 14 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 21 | - | - | |
| Jalen Williams * | 32 | 9-17 | 4-5 | 9-10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 31 | - | - | |
| Josh Giddey * | 32 | 8-9 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Luguentz Dort * | 29 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Gordon Hayward | 18 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 3-5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Joe | 16 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Cason Wallace | 16 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Aaron Wiggins | 16 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Kenrich Williams | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jerami Grant * | 40 | 6-11 | 2-3 | 6-6 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 20 | - | - | |
| Anfernee Simons * | 39 | 10-19 | 5-10 | 4-4 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 29 | - | - | |
| Duop Reath * | 30 | 5-12 | 0-5 | 6-7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Dalano Banton * | 29 | 5-13 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Kris Murray * | 23 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Matisse Thybulle | 25 | 5-6 | 3-4 | 3-3 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Jabari Walker | 18 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Rayan Rupert | 18 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Ashton Hagans | 13 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter