Model Predictions
| Model | Milwaukee Bucks | Golden State Warriors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.6% | 75.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.9% | 64.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 27.5% | 72.5% | +5.3 | ✓ (29.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Golden State Warriors +35 (125-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Damian Lillard * | 33 | 7-16 | 5-10 | 1-1 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 20 | - | - | |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo * | 32 | 8-15 | 1-3 | 6-9 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 23 | - | - | |
| Malik Beasley * | 32 | 2-10 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Brook Lopez * | 27 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Jae Crowder * | 17 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Bobby Portis | 23 | 8-13 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Pat Connaughton | 22 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Patrick Beverley | 17 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - | - | |
| AJ Green | 12 | 1-6 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Danilo Gallinari | 9 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| MarJon Beauchamp | 4 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Andre Jackson Jr. | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Thanasis Antetokounmpo | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Curry * | 30 | 10-18 | 6-10 | 3-4 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 29 | - | - | |
| Brandin Podziemski * | 26 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Jonathan Kuminga * | 25 | 9-14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 20 | - | - | |
| Draymond Green * | 25 | 5-11 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 12 | - | - | |
| Andrew Wiggins * | 13 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Klay Thompson | 21 | 4-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Moses Moody | 20 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Chris Paul | 19 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Trayce Jackson-Davis | 18 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 15 | - | - | |
| Gary Payton II | 15 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Kevon Looney | 5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Gui Santos | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jerome Robinson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Dario Saric | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Lester Quinones | 4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
* = starter