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2024-03-07

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Grizzlies Philadelphia 76ers Spread Result
Elo 23.3% 76.7% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 57.2% 42.8% - ✓
Margin 67.6% 32.4% -4.1 ✓ (1.9 off)
Pythagorean 33.0% 67.0% - ✗
Efficiency 15.4% 84.6% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 19.8% 80.2% - ✗
Log Adjusted 19.8% 80.2% - ✗
Points Off/Def 25.1% 74.9% - ✗

Actual: Philadelphia 76ers -6 (109-115). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jaren Jackson Jr. * 37 10-25 2-7 8-10 11 1 0 6 30 - -
Vince Williams Jr. * 36 6-9 2-3 3-3 7 9 2 1 17 - -
Santi Aldama * 35 6-13 3-8 2-2 4 7 1 3 17 - -
Luke Kennard * 27 5-10 3-6 2-2 2 2 0 0 15 - -
John Konchar * 27 1-3 1-3 0-0 4 1 0 2 3 - -
Jake LaRavia 31 7-15 2-4 3-4 13 0 0 3 19 - -
GG Jackson 21 3-10 0-5 0-0 6 1 0 0 6 - -
Lamar Stevens 15 3-4 0-0 2-2 6 0 0 0 8 - -
Matt Hurt 6 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tobias Harris * 34 3-12 1-4 1-1 6 3 0 1 8 - -
Buddy Hield * 30 6-17 3-7 0-0 5 3 3 1 15 - -
Nicolas Batum * 29 3-6 1-2 3-3 6 1 1 1 10 - -
Cameron Payne * 28 6-17 2-6 2-2 5 4 1 0 16 - -
Paul Reed * 24 8-17 1-2 0-0 11 3 1 3 17 - -
Kelly Oubre Jr. 34 7-21 2-7 9-9 4 1 2 1 25 - -
Jeff Dowtin Jr. 23 4-7 2-4 0-0 3 6 3 1 10 - -
KJ Martin 20 2-2 1-1 2-2 4 3 0 1 7 - -
Ricky Council IV 8 0-3 0-2 1-4 1 0 0 0 1 - -
Mo Bamba 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 - -

* = starter