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2024-03-07

Model Predictions

Model Cleveland Cavaliers Atlanta Hawks Spread Result
Elo 52.5% 47.5% -
Bradley-Terry 63.6% 36.4% -
Margin 75.0% 25.0% -6.0 (17.0 off)
Pythagorean 51.8% 48.2% -
Efficiency 60.7% 39.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 60.1% 39.9% -
Log Adjusted 60.1% 39.9% -
Points Off/Def 52.9% 47.1% -

Actual: Atlanta Hawks +11 (112-101). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jarrett Allen * 37 7-11 0-0 4-5 19 3 0 1 18 - -
Isaac Okoro * 35 7-13 1-5 2-2 2 2 1 1 17 - -
Darius Garland * 32 5-14 3-11 2-3 1 7 0 0 15 - -
Dean Wade * 30 3-8 1-6 2-3 4 0 0 0 9 - -
Georges Niang * 25 5-8 3-4 0-0 3 4 3 0 13 - -
Caris LeVert 35 5-17 2-8 1-2 4 7 0 1 13 - -
Sam Merrill 18 0-9 0-9 1-1 3 2 0 0 1 - -
Craig Porter Jr. 14 6-8 0-1 1-1 4 2 1 0 13 - -
Damian Jones 10 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 2 - -

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Saddiq Bey * 40 8-14 3-7 4-6 8 0 1 1 23 - -
Dejounte Murray * 38 7-21 1-7 3-4 2 9 2 0 18 - -
Bogdan Bogdanovic * 33 8-15 3-8 4-4 2 6 1 0 23 - -
Clint Capela * 22 4-6 0-0 0-0 9 3 0 0 8 - -
Jalen Johnson * 19 3-5 1-2 0-0 4 4 0 1 7 - -
Bruno Fernando 25 3-6 0-0 1-2 10 2 2 1 7 - -
De'Andre Hunter 25 6-12 2-5 3-4 3 2 1 0 17 - -
Garrison Mathews 17 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 - -
Trent Forrest 13 3-4 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 6 - -
Vit Krejci 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter