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2024-03-07

Model Predictions

Model Orlando Magic Washington Wizards Spread Result
Elo 69.8% 30.2% -
Bradley-Terry 72.5% 27.5% -
Margin 85.5% 14.5% -9.8 (0.2 off)
Pythagorean 63.2% 36.8% -
Efficiency 81.8% 18.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 77.7% 22.3% -
Log Adjusted 77.7% 22.3% -
Points Off/Def 67.5% 32.5% -

Actual: Washington Wizards -10 (109-119). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Franz Wagner * 38 9-15 3-7 7-8 5 2 0 2 28 - -
Paolo Banchero * 38 10-19 1-2 4-5 6 10 0 1 25 - -
Jalen Suggs * 31 6-12 5-10 2-2 6 4 1 0 19 - -
Goga Bitadze * 24 2-3 0-0 2-2 8 2 1 1 6 - -
Anthony Black * 21 3-5 2-3 0-0 1 2 2 0 8 - -
Cole Anthony 24 5-12 0-3 1-1 7 0 0 1 11 - -
Moritz Wagner 21 6-7 1-1 3-3 6 0 0 0 16 - -
Markelle Fultz 19 3-8 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 6 - -
Joe Ingles 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Caleb Houstan 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Deni Avdija * 35 6-13 1-4 1-2 7 3 2 0 14 - -
Kyle Kuzma * 31 10-19 3-6 2-3 5 4 1 1 25 - -
Bilal Coulibaly * 28 2-7 0-4 3-3 4 1 1 1 7 - -
Tyus Jones * 27 3-8 1-4 0-0 3 6 0 1 7 - -
Corey Kispert * 19 2-6 1-3 3-4 1 2 1 0 8 - -
Jordan Poole 32 9-19 4-12 4-4 4 5 0 0 26 - -
Richaun Holmes 24 5-6 0-0 2-2 5 2 2 0 12 - -
Johnny Davis 18 2-7 2-4 2-2 2 1 0 0 8 - -
Landry Shamet 15 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 1 2 - -
Eugene Omoruyi 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter