Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Suns | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.2% | 59.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.9% | 70.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 25.0% | 75.0% | +6.0 | ✗ (16.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 39.3% | 60.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 40.9% | 59.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 40.9% | 59.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.6% | 61.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets -10 (107-117). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Durant * | 43 | 14-34 | 3-8 | 4-5 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 35 | - | - | |
| Grayson Allen * | 40 | 9-15 | 8-12 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 28 | - | - | |
| Royce O'Neale * | 39 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Bradley Beal * | 36 | 6-18 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Jusuf Nurkic * | 29 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 7 | - | - | |
| Drew Eubanks | 23 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | - | - | |
| Eric Gordon | 21 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 2-4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Saben Lee | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Bol Bol | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| David Roddy | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokic * | 44 | 8-18 | 4-7 | 5-7 | 16 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Jamal Murray * | 42 | 12-25 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 28 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 39 | 8-18 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 38 | 4-6 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 34 | 3-10 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Peyton Watson | 22 | 2-8 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - | - | |
| Christian Braun | 18 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - | - | |
| Reggie Jackson | 15 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter