Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.5% | 75.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.9% | 51.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 44.6% | 55.4% | +1.2 | ✗ (18.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.9% | 58.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks -17 (120-137). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pascal Siakam * | 31 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 13 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Tyrese Haliburton * | 31 | 8-15 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 6 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| Myles Turner * | 27 | 7-14 | 1-5 | 5-6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Andrew Nembhard * | 24 | 4-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Aaron Nesmith * | 22 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Bennedict Mathurin | 24 | 7-16 | 2-7 | 3-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Ben Sheppard | 21 | 4-7 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Jalen Smith | 18 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 2-5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| T.J. McConnell | 17 | 5-10 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Obi Toppin | 17 | 5-6 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Jarace Walker | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Kendall Brown | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic * | 42 | 15-30 | 4-13 | 5-6 | 10 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 39 | - | - | |
| P.J. Washington * | 37 | 7-12 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 20 | - | - | |
| Kyrie Irving * | 36 | 8-19 | 3-9 | 4-4 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Josh Green * | 25 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Dereck Lively II * | 15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Daniel Gafford | 21 | 7-7 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 16 | - | - | |
| Dante Exum | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber | 15 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 12 | 2-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Derrick Jones Jr. | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| A.J. Lawson | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jaden Hardy | 2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter