Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.4% | 37.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.8% | 68.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 23.0% | 77.0% | +6.7 | ✓ (6.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.1% | 62.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 23.1% | 76.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 26.9% | 73.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 26.9% | 73.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.8% | 70.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Houston Rockets +13 (114-101). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Vassell * | 39 | 9-19 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 22 | - | - | |
| Jeremy Sochan * | 33 | 5-14 | 1-6 | 4-4 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Victor Wembanyama * | 30 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - | - | |
| Tre Jones * | 20 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Julian Champagnie * | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Keldon Johnson | 33 | 5-12 | 3-5 | 5-6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Malaki Branham | 26 | 8-14 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Zach Collins | 17 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - | - | |
| Cedi Osman | 15 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Blake Wesley | 12 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Green * | 38 | 11-23 | 1-10 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Fred VanVleet * | 37 | 8-15 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 4 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Alperen Sengun * | 36 | 19-32 | 2-3 | 5-7 | 16 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 45 | - | - | |
| Dillon Brooks * | 36 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jabari Smith Jr. * | 25 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Cam Whitmore | 20 | 9-16 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Amen Thompson | 19 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jock Landale | 11 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Aaron Holiday | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jeff Green | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Reggie Bullock Jr. | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter