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2024-03-06

Model Predictions

Model New Orleans Pelicans Toronto Raptors Spread Result
Elo 20.1% 79.9% -
Bradley-Terry 25.8% 74.2% -
Margin 20.5% 79.5% +7.4 (48.4 off)
Pythagorean 59.2% 40.8% -
Efficiency 77.2% 22.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 75.3% 24.7% -
Log Adjusted 75.4% 24.6% -
Points Off/Def 65.1% 34.9% -

Actual: Toronto Raptors -41 (98-139). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Herbert Jones * 25 6-10 5-8 0-0 2 3 2 0 17 - -
Zion Williamson * 25 7-11 0-0 2-2 8 9 1 2 16 - -
Brandon Ingram * 25 5-7 0-1 2-2 3 6 0 0 12 - -
CJ McCollum * 22 4-11 3-9 0-0 4 4 0 0 11 - -
Jonas Valanciunas * 20 3-6 2-2 2-2 10 1 0 1 10 - -
Trey Murphy III 29 11-17 10-14 2-4 6 1 1 0 34 - -
Jose Alvarado 23 2-7 1-4 0-0 2 6 3 0 5 - -
Naji Marshall 20 5-10 1-4 0-0 7 4 1 0 11 - -
Larry Nance Jr. 15 3-5 0-0 0-0 6 2 1 1 6 - -
Jordan Hawkins 9 1-6 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 - -
Matt Ryan 7 2-4 2-4 0-0 2 1 0 0 6 - -
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl 7 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -
Cody Zeller 4 2-4 0-0 1-1 6 1 0 1 5 - -
Izaiah Brockington 3 2-5 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 4 - -

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Immanuel Quickley * 33 6-14 4-7 1-3 7 7 1 0 17 - -
RJ Barrett * 31 7-14 0-2 1-5 6 1 0 2 15 - -
Gary Trent Jr. * 29 6-12 4-10 0-0 3 1 1 0 16 - -
Kelly Olynyk * 28 4-9 1-3 6-7 6 7 2 2 15 - -
Ochai Agbaji * 15 1-4 1-3 0-0 3 0 0 0 3 - -
Gradey Dick 27 1-7 0-5 0-0 2 0 1 0 2 - -
Jordan Nwora 19 4-15 1-6 0-0 6 1 0 1 9 - -
Javon Freeman-Liberty 17 4-7 1-3 4-5 3 1 0 0 13 - -
Jontay Porter 16 2-5 1-3 0-0 3 2 0 1 5 - -
D.J. Carton 12 0-2 0-1 1-2 2 0 1 0 1 - -
Jahmi'us Ramsey 5 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 - -
Mouhamadou Gueye 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 - -

* = starter