Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Pistons | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 67.4% | 32.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.9% | 44.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 56.7% | 43.3% | -1.5 | ✗ (9.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.6% | 67.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 15.8% | 84.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 19.7% | 80.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 19.6% | 80.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 24.4% | 75.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +8 (118-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaiah Stewart * | 36 | 5-9 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Ausar Thompson * | 34 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | - | - | |
| Cade Cunningham * | 33 | 8-20 | 4-8 | 3-3 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Jalen Duren * | 31 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Jaden Ivey * | 29 | 6-15 | 0-5 | 4-5 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Simone Fontecchio | 29 | 7-16 | 5-12 | 3-3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| James Wiseman | 16 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Marcus Sasser | 14 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Evan Fournier | 14 | 2-10 | 2-8 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duncan Robinson * | 36 | 6-11 | 4-9 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Jimmy Butler * | 36 | 7-13 | 1-3 | 11-12 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Bam Adebayo * | 35 | 8-17 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Terry Rozier * | 32 | 7-17 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jovic * | 21 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Caleb Martin | 27 | 5-9 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr. | 26 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Haywood Highsmith | 11 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Orlando Robinson | 7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Thomas Bryant | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter