Model Predictions
| Model | Boston Celtics | Cleveland Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 52.3% | 47.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 49.5% | 50.5% | +0.1 | ✓ (0.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.4% | 44.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 78.3% | 21.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 73.3% | 26.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 73.4% | 26.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 63.1% | 36.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers +1 (105-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayson Tatum * | 37 | 8-21 | 5-9 | 5-6 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Jaylen Brown * | 36 | 8-20 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Jrue Holiday * | 36 | 5-9 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Derrick White * | 35 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - | - | |
| Kristaps Porzingis * | 32 | 9-18 | 3-6 | 3-3 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 24 | - | - | |
| Al Horford | 19 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Luke Kornet | 15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - | - | |
| Sam Hauser | 14 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Payton Pritchard | 12 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darius Garland * | 36 | 6-20 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 1 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Jarrett Allen * | 35 | 9-16 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 21 | - | - | |
| Isaac Okoro * | 31 | 5-11 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 16 | - | - | |
| Sam Merrill * | 30 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Evan Mobley * | 22 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Caris LeVert | 29 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Georges Niang | 26 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Dean Wade | 21 | 8-11 | 6-9 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Craig Porter Jr. | 5 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter