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2024-03-05

Model Predictions

Model Oklahoma City Thunder Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 73.3% 26.7% -
Bradley-Terry 69.4% 30.6% -
Margin 86.7% 13.3% -10.3 (22.3 off)
Pythagorean 53.9% 46.1% -
Efficiency 70.4% 29.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 67.0% 33.0% -
Log Adjusted 67.1% 32.9% -
Points Off/Def 57.4% 42.6% -

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +12 (116-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Oklahoma City Thunder

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * 29 5-13 1-2 9-9 7 4 4 2 20 - -
Chet Holmgren * 28 6-14 2-6 1-1 7 1 0 1 15 - -
Josh Giddey * 28 6-10 1-2 0-0 5 4 1 1 13 - -
Jalen Williams * 26 2-9 1-3 2-2 2 3 1 0 7 - -
Luguentz Dort * 23 5-9 5-7 0-0 2 2 1 0 15 - -
Cason Wallace 22 3-8 1-4 0-0 4 1 3 0 7 - -
Aaron Wiggins 16 4-8 2-3 2-2 1 1 1 1 12 - -
Gordon Hayward 14 1-5 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 - -
Isaiah Joe 13 0-4 0-3 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 - -
Mike Muscala 11 2-5 1-3 0-0 3 0 0 0 5 - -
Kenrich Williams 9 1-4 0-2 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 - -
Bismack Biyombo 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Lindy Waters III 5 1-3 1-3 0-0 3 2 1 0 3 - -
Olivier Sarr 4 1-1 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 1 3 - -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D'Angelo Russell * 33 9-17 5-11 3-5 6 3 4 1 26 - -
LeBron James * 30 7-14 1-3 4-5 11 8 1 0 19 - -
Anthony Davis * 30 7-12 0-0 10-11 12 4 1 3 24 - -
Austin Reaves * 29 6-8 4-5 0-0 6 7 1 0 16 - -
Rui Hachimura * 21 3-8 1-3 0-2 1 1 0 0 7 - -
Spencer Dinwiddie 24 1-4 0-2 0-0 2 3 0 1 2 - -
Taurean Prince 21 5-7 4-6 0-0 6 1 0 1 14 - -
Jaxson Hayes 17 2-3 0-1 0-0 6 2 1 1 4 - -
Cam Reddish 13 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -
Jalen Hood-Schifino 5 0-3 0-1 1-2 1 0 0 0 1 - -
Max Christie 5 1-2 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 - -
Harry Giles III 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Maxwell Lewis 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter