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2024-03-05

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Bulls Sacramento Kings Spread Result
Elo 57.4% 42.6% -
Bradley-Terry 49.5% 50.5% -
Margin 46.5% 53.5% +0.8 (4.8 off)
Pythagorean 42.7% 57.3% -
Efficiency 34.3% 65.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 33.0% 67.0% -
Log Adjusted 33.0% 67.0% -
Points Off/Def 34.1% 65.9% -

Actual: Sacramento Kings -4 (109-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Coby White * 43 14-19 5-9 4-5 5 7 1 0 37 31 -
Ayo Dosunmu * 38 9-15 2-5 0-0 2 5 1 0 20 13 -
DeMar DeRozan * 37 10-12 2-3 11-12 0 4 2 0 33 27 -
Alex Caruso * 33 1-10 0-6 0-1 3 7 4 0 2 6 -
Nikola Vucevic * 31 4-13 2-5 0-0 13 2 1 1 10 14 -
Andre Drummond 16 2-5 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 4 5 -
Julian Phillips 14 2-4 0-1 2-2 1 0 0 0 6 3 -
Onuralp Bitim 12 0-3 0-2 1-2 1 1 0 1 1 1 -
Jevon Carter 11 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 0 -

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Keegan Murray * 38 3-8 1-5 4-4 6 4 1 3 11 17 -
De'Aaron Fox * 38 8-16 2-7 2-3 1 10 1 0 20 16 -
Domantas Sabonis * 31 7-19 0-1 4-4 21 4 2 0 18 26 -
Harrison Barnes * 24 3-7 1-4 3-4 1 1 1 0 10 6 -
Kevin Huerter * 23 5-9 2-3 0-0 3 2 1 0 12 9 -
Malik Monk 30 4-12 2-7 1-1 4 6 0 0 11 9 -
Trey Lyles 20 3-10 1-6 2-2 3 1 0 1 9 4 -
Chris Duarte 12 3-4 2-3 0-0 5 0 0 0 8 9 -
Davion Mitchell 9 3-4 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 6 6 -
Alex Len 9 2-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 2 4 7 -

* = starter